In many ways, a disruption of Saudi oil supply would be the ultimate Black Swan.
FORBES: A Saudi Oil Supply Disruption-The Ultimate Marketing Crisis Scenario
The depth of this plunge is the black swan few saw coming last spring.
Nassim Taleb also addresses regime change in chaotic systems in his book The Black Swan.
FORBES: Chaos Theory, Financial Markets, and Global Weirding
No perfect storm, no black swan: just lost of errors by lots of people.
For example, we actually backed a solar company last year, Black Swan Solar.
Last year the movie Black Swan quietly opened in a handful of theaters in early December.
Still plausible is a 10 percent decline if the black swan which is Greece surfaces.
In scientific literature these events are called the emergence of the Black Swan.
Ironically, paperback rights for the book have been sold to Black Swan, an imprint owned by Bertelsmann.
The best way to do that is to anticipate the marketing impact of potential future Black Swan scenarios.
FORBES: A Saudi Oil Supply Disruption-The Ultimate Marketing Crisis Scenario
In the investments that are better equipped to withstand a black swan event, such as high-yielding dividend stocks.
And the Black Swan is a famous book about extremely rare events that most financial models cannot predict.
Following in the wallaby's paw prints: Gallo's Black Swan and Constellation Wines' Four Emus and 3 Blind Moose.
By being a trend-following trader, you put yourself in a position to benefit when a black swan happens.
However, in this era of sound bites and spin, objectivity is almost as rare as a black swan.
What we call here a Black Swan (and capitalize it) is an event with the following three attributes.
What I call a "Black Swan" is an exceptional unpredictable event that, unlike the bird, carries a huge impact.
Downside Protection is also an essential element in the construction of a portfolio designed to withstand Black Swan events.
Last weekend she won a Golden Globe for her performance in Black Swan.
FORBES: Will Natalie Portman's Rising Star Boost Her Pay Check?
Once the index reaches 100, it is more likely that the black swan event will occur than not occur.
Every Black Swan event starts out with a sudden event, usually a loss.
FORBES: A Survivors Guide to your own Personal Black Swan Moment: The Fear and Reality of Job Loss
Black Swan of course suggested that a lot of the circumstances around us are a result of freak chance.
The first sighting of a black swan in Australia, where black swans are, in fact, rather common, shattered that notion.
The back story to my Black Swan event theme is the frightening headlines coming from our states, cities and counties.
Indeed, the diversity of what Wall Street sees as a hedge against a black swan is a wide range of products.
Almost every institution said they are or will soon be offering a product to guard against black swan events or tail risk.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb is an applied statistician and derivatives trader-turned-philosopher, and author of The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable.
Every major and minor business publication is writing about Black Swan events.
Financial strength also helps when the positive black swan (golden swan?) occurs.
FORBES: Uncertainty and Risk Management: What to Do About Black Swans?
First, it enables survival in the face of a negative black swan.
FORBES: Uncertainty and Risk Management: What to Do About Black Swans?
应用推荐