Our ratings for domestic stock funds look at long-term performance over four bull and bear market cycles stretching back 12 years.
Investors would do well to set aside these simplistic asset allocation questionnaires and canned computer programs used by advisors and replace them with some serious soul searching about their true financial needs, as well as reviewing their investment behavior during strong bull and bear market.
Risk is captured in our fund survey by the separate grades for bull market and bear market results.
It may feel safe to put your money in the top performing funds in a bull market or into cash and bonds during a bear market, but both are actually riskier than they seem.
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The stock lagged in the prior bull market and fell fully with the market in the bear, so it's cheap now.
In secular bear markets the periodic cyclical bull markets can be exciting and profitable, like the 2003-2007 bull market, and the current one, but are only temporary and the secular bear market takes over again.
It started with the final stages of a big bull market, then we got the second biggest bear market since the Great Depression, a five-year bull market in which stocks over doubled, the biggest bear market since the Great Depression, and the massive start of a new bull.
But it is pretty much agreed that when the market topped out in March 2000 it was the end of the long 1982-2000 secular bull market, and beginning of a 2000 to who knows when secular bear market.
We had another mini bear market from 2007 to 2009, and another smaller bull market from 2009 to most recently this spring.
Were the present bull market to give way to another prolonged bear market, both states and firms might discover that the pensions burden they thought they had shaken off came back to haunt them.
The fund gets an "A" rating for bull markets and a "B" for bear market performance.
Rowe Price Latin America Fund, which FORBES rates A for bull market performance and B for bear markets.
In the stock market, we have bull and bear markets.
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People tend to pile into hot funds after a bull market is well under way and to exit in a panic at the bottom of a bear market.
He thinks the bull market in equity still has some legs, though not long ones, and thinks the bear market in gold will reverse as the West continues to face debt problems and inflation.
And, of course, Kaplan is a young manager, still innocent of long-term bear markets, and prone to bull-market-baby syndrome.
Then, on August 1 with the Dow at 12, 000, the bull market trend off the March 2009 broke to the downside and I declared the onset of a new bear market.
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In secular bull markets the periodic cyclical bear markets can be devastating, like the 1987 crash, but are only temporary and the bull market resumes to ever higher highs.
Market conditions come in two flavors: bull and bear.
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And this new bear-to-bull ratio indicates a more positive market outlook rather than a pessimistic one from the usually on-target contrarian point of view.
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The Forbes fund rating system, which goes back half a century, looks at a minimum of two full market cycles and awards separate performance grades for bull and bear markets.
Others lenders were willing to extend higher amounts of credit than the company was seeking, but in our view, the debt to equity ratio they were being offered was not healthy for the company, and not something that Hercules would support in either a bull or bear market.
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They begin new bull markets together, experience occasional market corrections simultaneously, and sink into global bear markets at approximately the same time.
Unfortunately, over the very long-term the market cycles back and forth between secular bull markets and secular bear markets on a quite regular basis.
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There were numerous cyclical bull markets and cyclical bear markets during the 16 years, but it was a time for market-timing not buy and hold.
In many respects, rather than being feared, market corrections and bear markets offer better opportunities for profits than booming bull markets.
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We had the 2000 crash, otherwise known as the dot-com crash, which was a bear market lasting from 2000 to 2002, and we had a mini bull market from 2003 to 2007.
This formation interrupts a previous trend and reaches completion once the resistance (in a bull market) or support (in a bear market) is overcome.
One of the most consistently reliable market prognosticators, Jim Stack of InvesTech Research, is convinced that the bear market is history and we're at the beginning of a new bull.
His advice encourages investors to seek the benefits of preparation and risk management, the essential elements for investing through this secular bear toward the next secular bull market.
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