Mr. Yudhoyono isn't a shoo-in for re-election, especially if Indonesia's commodity-dependent economy continues to weaken as expected.
It could help the global economy if commodity prices drop by freeing up consumers to spend on other goods and services.
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Among the excuses will be disruptions caused by disaster in Japan, bad weather in the United States, higher commodity prices and the economy.
In contrast to the stock market, which over long periods offers positive returns linked to the growth in the economy, commodity trading is a zero-sum game.
Overcapacity in the economy and commodity-price inflation seem to be the guiding forces behind Friday's consumer price report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, as CPI gained 0.5% almost exclusively due to higher energy prices.
The relative scarcity of some element of the economy such as labor, manufacturing capacity or a vital commodity can trigger inflation without the economy being especially strong.
Mulally is also worried about the competitive environment, rising commodity prices and the continued weak economy.
Stocks will then crash, big time, taking down the economy and deflating the commodity bubble for good.
Sub-Saharan Africa has sometimes perked up a bit, only to slump again when commodity prices drop and the world economy falters.
At the same time, the commodity boom is lifting the rural economy by fattening profits for U.S. grain farmers and exporters.
Drawing on the respective strengths of both companies, this exploration joint venture could potentially create commodity supplies to benefit the global economy.
It is true that, thanks in part to rising commodity prices, a buoyant world economy and less-profligate governments, many emerging economies are in better shape than they were.
Apart from the inherent systemic instability of an economy relying on one commodity, there are signs that Putin's neo-socialist policies of nationalizations and anti-foreign investment bias could soon start negatively affecting the oil and gas industry.
Of course, the Australian economy is very sensitive to commodity prices, and is used by some as a barometer of the global economic outlook.
Investors are dumping the currency because the Canadian economy is widely perceived as commodity-based and export-oriented at a time when commodity prices are depressed and export markets are sluggish.
Central bankers in the U.S. and Europe have flooded the market with so much money that they will inevitably face a choice between raising rates to dampen inflation, cratering the economy, or watch rising commodity prices do the same thing.
If the economy stalls out, industrials and commodity plays will see their earnings erode further.
As it remains a resources-driven economy, the drop in most commodity prices this year (from dimmed global prospects) will be felt acutely.
Oil and mining companies were hit with falling commodity prices as fears mount that the global economy will stall due to weak demand from developed economies.
The economy of China, a key commodity consumer, is also slowing but nevertheless remains robust compared to the rest of the world, with the government last week reporting 7.6% growth in the second quarter.
Measured fiscal policy, commitment to maintaining an open economy, and prudent use of commodity-generated income have the country poised to continue delivering impressive economic performance the IMF recently forecasted that Indonesia will grow by more than six percent per year for the next five years.
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While a lackluster global economy has surely impacted the major commodity exporters like Vale and affected confidence, Tombini said that a series of macroeconomic measures taken over the year from payroll tax breaks to other fiscal incentives, coupled with falling interest rates are already having their desired affect in the local economy.
In Brazil the economy has been harder hit by falling commodity prices and declining exports.
That, in turn, would have conferred upon them unwelcome pricing power over a commodity that is particularly crucial to China's economy.
With an economy in the pan, and global commodity prices at historic highs (not to mention the political problems of policing an oil-dependent world) natural resource discovery is an inviting systemic innovation.
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Add to that the growing concern that the global economy is once again stumbling and that commodity prices may be near a top, and you have a Chinese deal-making market that has gone from 60 to zero in no time.
By so doing, we can make our economy and security less reliant on a commodity whose purchase requires us to transfer tens of billions of dollars every year to regimes that are unstable at best, and violently hostile at worst. (For more on this initiative, see Step 3 of War Footing: Ten Steps America Must Take to Prevail in the War for the Free World, Naval Institute Press, 2005).
Commodity prices are typically linked to growth in the global economy, say experts.
That in effect eases monetary policy and is an overt signal from China that it wants its economy to grow and it will accept more commodity imports to achieve its better economic growth.
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Declining commodity prices usually indicate demand for goods is dropping and the economy is in trouble.
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