Export-led growth works well in a world where the priceelasticity of demand for the exported goods is effectively infinite, where any decrease in costs will always lead to an expansion in sales.
In response, several bloggers have argued that these elasticities are underestimated, pointing to the unreliability of estimates of long-run priceelasticity of oil demand in general and to other literature with higher estimates than the IMF study.
If food demand or supply has a very low elasticity with respect to price in the short term then when we have only a minor change in supply and or demand then we will see large changes in food prices.