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The current estimates are produced by analyzing a range of variables like rainfall, temperature and evaporation.
BBC: Predicting the next big flood
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In Israel, Solaris Synergy has developed a concentrated photovoltaic technology for a floating farm, which includes an innovative evaporation cooling technology called Aquasun that keeps the silicon elements at a low and stable temperature.
FORBES: Napa Winery Pioneers Solar Floatovoltaics
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As with the earlier paper that showed that offshore windmills will lower the air temperature around them by 1 degree or so: I assume from that same mixing increasing the evaporation rate of the sea water.
FORBES: Wind Farms Cause Global Warming!