Plotting the exponential curve of this development on logarithmic paper, Moore was please to see a straight line .

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As doublings accumulate, however, and technology moves into the steep part of the exponential curve, great leaps become possible.

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Meanwhile, solar is posting these sorts of enormous gains every month as it climbs the exponential curve to mass adoption.

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In the early years of the ICT revolution, during the flat part of the exponential curve, progress seemed interesting but limited in its applications.

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If you look at hard data, like the number of patents filed in the US patent office, you will find over the last 20 years an exponential curve.

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The arc is an exponential curve.

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That concept isn't really compelling to the masses until one focuses on the "knee" of this exponential curve -- the point where the perpetual doubling of technological growth skyrockets and negates the linear models of progress that people like economists have relied on for so long.

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Coal and gas are still way bigger than oil or nukes in our grid, but my point is really just that an exponential curve can catch up with a linear one in a surprising way. 14% doubling every few years means we could be only a decade away from 100% clean energy.

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The conclusion was the same for drug discovery after the mid-19980s: an exponential decay curve with a slope indicating we were discovering approximately 1 fewer new drugs per year.

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