But the rate of long-term unemployment, 3 percent in January, is precisely triple its 2001-07 average, according to a Bloomberg Businessweek calculation based on Bureau of Labor Statistics data. (Those two rates 4.9 percent and 3 percent add up to the overall unemploymentrate of 7.9 percent.) A striking statistic: The long-term unemployed make up 38 percent of all workers without jobs, double the average share and just a few notches down from the 2010-11 peak of 45 percent.
The length of the downturn (the longest since the Depression) and the weakness of the recovery have combined to generate an unprecedented rise in the rate of long-term unemployment.
Last month the Fed said that as long as inflation remained modest, it could keep short-term rates near zero until the unemploymentrate dips below 6.5 percent from the current 7.8 percent.
Even amidst the rotten unemployment rate 8.3% officially, 15% taking the discouraged long-term unemployed into account many good jobs go begging today.