When combined with record numbers of refinancings to take advantage of these low rates, house prices might firm up sooner than most think.

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Massive institutional interest has helped firm up prices, but may also be dangerously pushing some markets too high too fast.

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If inflation and interest rates start to rise, the volatility of bond prices will go up and the firm will start dialing back its fixed-income exposure.

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In effect, the branded cereal would cede the most price-sensitive segment of the market to the own-label cereal, in the hope that the own-label firm will keep its prices up.

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Also, others pointed out the strong physical demand that showed up in several parts of the world has helped firm prices this week and they expect that to continue into next week.

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David Rosenberg, the former Merrill Lynch economist, now with the Canadian firm Gluskin Sheff, has argued that the run up in commodity prices is not a forerunner of a generalized inflation because incomes are not rising and there is huge excess capacity in the economic system, as indicated by high levels of unemployment.

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The firm has been taking a more speculative bent in recent years, growing its shale assets dramatically as prices slowly crept up.

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