Consider a patient with a deadly cancer that would cost a million dollars to treat, with a substantial probability of failure nevertheless.

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What is the probability of failure before the next maintenance window?

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All the same, the market that trades in the probability of their failure is flourishing.

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When physical demand can not be met in the primary futures markets, even as there are massive naked shorts in the futures markets, I believe the probability that a major derivatives failure in the gold market is afoot or in the process of transpiring.

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