Calculations using the data available on Thursday afternoon suggested a splash down in the Southern Ocean.
More than 1, 000 fragments are expected to splash down into the watery target between Chile and Australia.
Cargo will be unloaded, return cargo loaded in, and the capsule will return to splash down in the Pacific.
Dragon is scheduled to leave the space station around the end of the month and splash down off the California coast.
Its scheduled departure date is March 25, and it will splash down in the Pacific with a payload of 2, 300 pounds of equipment and experiment samples from the Space Station.
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It took a full week of pumping before the water level was brought down to 20 centimeters, and Speth, wearing boots, shorts and an old T-shirt, could splash down to explore.
He cast the lure out and it hit the water with a loud splash and dropped down onto the nest.
Girls in full dress splash about next to boys who have put down their guns to learn to swim.
Guppies can splash in the Little Kahunas play area, while bigger kids can slip down the high-speed tube slides or shoot hoops in the pool.
He made his big splash in 1973 with his best-selling takedown of stock-picking, A Random Walk Down Wall Street, in which he illustrated the futility of accurately predicting future stock prices, noting how a blindfolded chimpanzee throwing darts at the stock page of a newspaper could pick winners as well as a Wall Street professional.
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"It doesn't look like it made quite the splash it did last year, " said Jaime Arbona, who watched the keynote on video before wandering down to the show to nose around the booths.
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