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T-bills yield a negative real rate of return now and 10-year Treasuries yielding 4% don't light my fire.
FORBES: Magazine Article
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T-bills normally yield a 1% real rate of return.
FORBES: Magazine Article
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Money market funds and cash equivalents (short-term certificates of deposit, T-bills) will yield below 1.0 percent for several more years, thereby generating a negative real return.
FORBES: The Next 10 Years
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Just a week ago, the financial news was pretty dire, as stocks closed near their lows and everyone was piling into three-month T-Bills that had almost no yield.
FORBES: The Week Ahead: Will Stocks and Rates Continue Higher?
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One market signal is giving me great concern: the yield on 6-month T-bills continues to decline and is now at a record low, just above 0%, even below the December 2008 crisis low.
FORBES: Danger For The Bulls
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So, when the interest rate on 90-day T-bills is below the IOR rate, for practical purposes we have an inverted yield curve.
FORBES: We Need QE3 Like We Need A (Jackson) Hole In The Head
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Currently, the Treasury yield curve ranges from 0.11% for 3-month T-bills, to 2.85% for 30-year T-bonds.
FORBES: When the Fed Makes Headlines, You Know We're In Trouble