然后又使用ARIMA模型对新增农业劳动力指数、第三产业指数进行长期预测，并根据二者的长期预测值，运用多元线性回归分析对城镇实际失业率进行长期预测。
It will be used to forecast the short-term rate of town unemployment in 2003. Then the article makes the long-term forecast on the new agriculture labor force and the third industry index by ARIMA.
然后又使用ARIMA模型对新增农业劳动力指数、第三产业指数进行长期预测，并根据二者的长期预测值，运用多元线性回归分析对城镇实际失业率进行长期预测。
It will be used to forecast the short-term rate of town unemployment in 2003. Then the article makes the long-term forecast on the new agriculture labor force and the third industry index by ARIMA.
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