黑天鹅事件就指那些极小概率,但是有极大影响事件。
He advocates building a society that can limit the damage of Black Swan events once they inevitably occur.
他主张构建这样一个社会:一旦黑天鹅事件不可避免的发生,它能限制其造成的损失。
In 2007, he published the Black Swan: the Impact of the Highly Improbable, which argues that we should never ignore the possibility or importance of rare, unpredictable events.
在2007年,他出版了《黑天鹅:高度意外性事件的影响》,主张人们不应该忽略罕见和不可预测事件的可能性和重要性。
And corporate "scenario planners" are better than they used to be at thinking about Black Swan-type events.
并且,企业“预案制定者”在考虑“黑天鹅”型事件时也比之前要好很多。
A system that is over-reliant on prediction (through leverage, like the banking system before the recent crisis), hence fragile to unforeseen "black swan" events, will eventually break into pieces.
在出现不可预测的“黑天鹅”事件时,过分依赖预测的系统(如这次金融危机前的银行系统,通过使用杠杆)显得非常脆弱,最终将彻底粉碎。
So many catastrophic events have struck the world in the past few weeks that a new phrase - "black swan fatigue" - has been coined to characterise the market reaction.
过去几周发生了太多灾难性事件,以至于人们创造出了一个新词——“黑天鹅疲劳”(black swan fatigue)——来描绘市场的反应。
The Quarterly: For people who haven’t read The Black Swan, can you quickly summarize what they should know to understand your point of view on recent events in global financial markets?
季刊:对那些没读过《黑天鹅》的人,您能简要概括一下为了理解您的观点、面对当前的世界金融市场,他们应该事先了解些什么?
So-called black swan funds - named for rare and unexpected events - offer a way to profit in the event of a market collapse.
以稀有而意料之外事件命名的黑天鹅基金提供一种在经济灾难时的盈利方式。
Mr Buffett's approach of insuring events he thinks are unlikely to occur is the kind of trading strategy criticised by Nassim Nicholas Taleb, who wrote the Black Swan.
巴菲特为他认为发生概率不大的事件提供保险,这种做法正是《黑天鹅》一书作者纳西姆·尼古拉斯·塔勒布(Nassim Nicholas Taleb)所批评的交易策略。
Taleb, who is an adviser to the firm and an investor, gained fame for 'The Black Swan, ' a book that suggested unlikely events in the financial markets are far more likely than most investors believe.
这本书提出,金融市场中的不可能事件比大部分投资者认为的可能性要大的多。
Taleb, who is an adviser to the firm and an investor, gained fame for 'The Black Swan, ' a book that suggested unlikely events in the financial markets are far more likely than most investors believe.
这本书提出,金融市场中的不可能事件比大部分投资者认为的可能性要大的多。
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