Grexit has become the base case for many economists.
希腊退欧“已经成为经济学家们的基本预期。”
The upshot is that Grexit is a process, not an event.
由此的结论是，希腊退欧是一个进程，而不是一个结果。
To see why, start with the results of a default and Grexit.
欲知原因，先来看看违约和希腊退欧的结果。
The alternative, Grexit, would plunge Greece to poverty and hyperinflation leading to a crisis a-la-Venezuela in Europe.
另一个方案，也就是脱离欧盟，则会让希腊陷入贫穷和恶性通胀之中，从而在欧洲引发委内瑞拉式的危机。
By contrast, the cost of Grexit would be exorbitant: bust Banks, slashed savings, broken contracts and shattered confidence.
相比之下，希腊退欧的代价会高得离谱：破产的银行，大幅缩水的存款，违约的合约，破碎的信心。
Some people, including possibly Mr Tsipras, have concluded that the price of Grexit is so high that Greece can count on the euro zone giving ground at the last minute.
可能包括齐普拉斯在内的一些人已经认定，既然希腊退欧的代价这么高，那么希腊就可以指望欧元区在谈判的最后一刻做出让步。
Some people, including possibly Mr Tsipras, have concluded that the price of Grexit is so high that Greece can count on the euro zone giving ground at the last minute.
可能包括齐普拉斯在内的一些人已经认定，既然希腊退欧的代价这么高，那么希腊就可以指望欧元区在谈判的最后一刻做出让步。
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