So what we see is, again perfectly reasonable statistical techniques, but not looking at things in the right way.
所以我们这里可以看到,还是很完美很有逻辑的统计学工具,但是他们没有用正确的方式去看待数据。
and so statistics is like, is one of the main thing I would say, yeah.
而统计学就是其中的主要课程。
No. 2, we believe that young people have to be a key part of building that ethos One of the reasons for that is purely demographic.
其次,我们认为青年人,必须成为建立该社会风气的主力,其中的一个原因,纯粹是从人口统计学来考虑的。
It reminds me of a joke about the statistician who drowned in a pool with an average height of 10 inches.
这让我想起一个统计学笑话,在一个平均水深为10英寸的游泳池里,谁会被淹死。
This isn't really statistics anymore, but it's a concept that I want to include in this lecture.
这不再是统计学概念了,我以这个概念作为这堂课的结尾
When I was talking about various sins one can commit with statistics.
我上节课讲到,统计学常见的谬误。
Then there's some interesting statistical things that you'll see in these studies.
在这些研究中我们还会发现,一些有趣的统计学现象
It's a statistical process.
这是一个统计学过程
And then you have to take History course and course in Statistics for modeling, so.
然后你必须选历史和建模统计学。
Basically if you have a number that's P in this case, than the number is lower then that shows increasing level of statistical significance.
基本上如果P,这幅图里的数比0.05更小,数字越小,表示统计学显著性越大
This is another concept that is very basic to statistics, but it has particular use in finance, so I'll give you a financial example.
这是统计学中又一个基本概念,在金融学中广泛使用,那我就举一个金融领域的例子
Similarly,"growing-tip" statistics is not saying " "let's not study the average".
同样,成长尖端统计学不是提倡,“我们别研究大众了。
If you had a course in probability and statistics, then you'll find it easy to follow, but it's self-contained again.
如果你们学过统计学或者概率论,你们会比较容易理解,也需要你们独立学习
When he talked about "growing-tip" statistics.
提出的“成长尖端统计学。
Now. I want to move away from statistics and talk about present values, which is another concept in finance that is fundamental.
好的,讲到这里我将离开统计学,讨论一下现值,这是金融学中的另一个基本概念
Just as I foreshadowed, if you look at the difference between the first and third quartile in the bond market -these are active returns over a ten-year period again ending June 30,2005 -and the fixed income market, the difference between first and third quartile is a half a percent per annum.
如我之前所示,如果观察,债券市场中的第一和第三个四分位数,四分位数即统计学中,把所有数值由小到大排列并分成四等份三个分割点位置分别就是三个四分位数 考虑十年期的主动型的收益,截止于2005年6月30日,在债券这个固定收益市场,第一和第三个四分位数,每年只差0.5%
I circled this P -if any of you have taken statistics will know what that means, but it's the statistical term that tells you how significant these findings are.
我重点圈起了P,学过统计学的就知道这是什么意思,这是统计学的术语,它告诉我们,这些数据的重要程度
That's an example of "growing-tip" statistics research.
这就是个成长尖端统计学的研究实例。
What I am frankly espousing here ' is what I have been calling "growing-tip statistics," taking my title from the fact that it is at the growing tip of a plant " that the greatest genetic action takes place."
我非常支持,'成长尖端统计学“,我的头衔来自以下的研究发现,最优秀的遗传基因会在,幼苗的成长尖端出现“
So we talked about changing ourselves, how it's possible the "growing-tip" statistics which is the second significant idea within research in positive psychology: " first significant idea is "let's study what works" " the second significant idea is "let's study what works best".
我们讨论过改变自己,为什么成长尖端统计学,会是积极心理学研究中的,第二个重要理念:,第一个重要理念是“研究可行的事“,第二个重要理念是“研究最优秀的个体。
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