Conversely, if there was probability 1 that the other guy is going to choose Right, and I choose Up, then I get 0.
相反,如果对手,选择右的概率为1,并且我选的是上,那我的收益为零
So this point here corresponds to my payoff if I choose Up and they choose Right.
也就是说这个点表示,我选上对手选右时我的收益
She explains to Comus what would happen should she actually choose to break her silence, should she actually choose to unleash all of the rhetorical powers that she has pent up inside of her.
她向科玛斯解释,一旦她打破沉默将会发生些什么,一旦她真正选择揭开那些,禁锢在她内心许久的浮夸的力量。
But I would choose to sit down for these particular projects right around midnight so that when I woke up my program was giving me the results I wanted.
我可能会,为了这些特殊的项目一直等到半夜,这样我醒来时,程序就能给我想要的结果。
or sorry, you did choose to show up today, we'll understand, but please also understand that the TAs won't have a lot of patience with you if you're asking a question about something that was either covered in the readings, or covered in the lecture and is pretty straight forward. All right?
你确实决定了来上课,我们会理解你的,但是请明白,当你问了一个,既在阅读材料里,也在课堂上讲过的浅显问题时,助教们可没有太多耐心,接待你?
Then your boss came to you, and looks rather fiercely at you so this is Rick Levin or somebody looking rather fiercely at me, and says "why did you choose Up?"
你的老板找到你,很严肃的看着你,校长里克·列文或者别人,很严肃的看着我,问我为什么要选上
How many of you would choose Up?
有多少人选上
So this isn't so hard, we know that if I choose Up and there's probability 0 that the other guy is going to choose Right, that's the same as saying I choose Up and the other guy chooses, let's try it again.
这不是很难得,我们知道如果我选上的话,我对手选右的概率就是0,也就是说我选上,我对手会选择,我说错了,重新来
If I think the probability that they're going to choose Right is less than X, then my best response is to choose Up.
也就是说如果我觉得,对手选右的概率小于X,那我的最佳对策是选上
If these are my payoffs I should go ahead and choose Alpha because that way I end up getting 3.
如果我关心我成绩我应该直接选α,因为那样我能得到3单位效用
So once again, no abstentions this time: who would choose Alpha? Let's have a show of hands again, keep your hands up a second.
这次也不允许弃权,谁会选择α,请举下手,先别放下手
I believe the other guy is going to choose Left, I can rationalize choosing Up.
我认为对手应该会选左,这样我认为选上是合理的
So what's my expected payoff from choosing Up where I believe the other person's going to choose Left and Right, equally likely? It's what?
那么在我对手选择左或右,可能性相同的情况下,我的预期收益会是什么样的呢
oh I chose Up because I thought the other guy was going to choose Left."
哦,我选上是因为,我认为对手会选左
Let's look at my payoffs from choosing these three options Up, Middle, and Down, if I think it's equally likely that my opponent will choose Left and Right.
我们来看一下我从上中下这三个策略中,分别能获得什么样的收益,如果我认为我对手,选择左或右的可能性相同
Probability is 0 of their choosing Right is the same as saying they choose Left, so that my payoff from Up against that is given by the top box up there, I get 5.
如果对手选右的概率是0,其实就是说他们会选左,因此此情况下我选上的收益,从上面的矩阵看,我的收益是5
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