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Well,if hedge funds first became mainstream maybe fifteen years ago, then what are you looking at in terms of history?
如果对冲基金,在15年前就变成主流,那么你会在它们的历史记录中看到什么呢
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Long-term Capital Management was a big hedge fund that failed in 1998 and got bailed out by the Fed.
长期资本管理公司,是一个1998年失败了的对冲基金8,并且被美联储保释了。
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So the survivorship bias and the backfill bias would be much,much more of a problem in the hedge fund world.
所以生存偏差和回填偏差,会是对冲基金领域里一个相当重大的问题
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Why would it be that somebody else is allowed to invest in a hedge fund and I'm not?
为什么允许其他人投资对冲基金,而我却不能呢
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He looked at a group of hedge funds that numbered 331 in 1996 and by 2004,eight years later, 75% of them had disappeared.
他取样了一组对冲基金,是1996年的331支,到8年后的2004年,其中的75%都消失了
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You look at the returns that are reported for hedge funds in aggregate--they're generally 12%,13%,14% per year for the last five or ten years.
看一下过去5到10年间,公报中的对冲基金年平均收益率,普遍来说是12%,13%,14%
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The question is, if a group of Yalies started a hedge fund, what would they have to do to convince me to invest in them?
提问是,如果一群耶鲁校友创立一个对冲基金,他们如何才能说服我入股投资呢
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The idea is that people who don't have much money can't afford expensive lawyers and they can't figure it out and they really shouldn't be investing in hedge funds.
那些钱不足以支付昂贵律师费,无法解决资金问题的人,实在不该投资对冲基金
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I think it's very hard to raise the definition of accredited investors because the minute you do that you're closing large numbers of people out from their ability to invest in hedge funds and they don't like that; they feel insulted, so there was a lot of angry reaction.
我认为要提高,合资格投资者的门槛很难,因为一旦实施,大量的投资者将被拒之门外,这些有能力投资对冲基金的人们,可不会开心,他们会觉得被侮辱了并因此而恼怒
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I would be looking at this--at the debt areas Student: You mentioned about the U.S. dollar falling in value recently. What kind of foreign currency vehicles or trading would you recommend to kind of hedge a bet against a dollar assuming that it continues to fall?
我会考虑这方面的投资--债务市场方面的机会,学生：你刚才提到美元,最近贬值的问题，那么哪些品种的外汇金融工具,或者外汇交易在你看来可以用来,对冲美元贬值的风险,如果我们假设美元还会将继续贬值？
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