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I wrote this book in 2000 right at the peak of-- fortunately right at the peak of the stock market.
我2000年写这本书的时候,当时希勒教授在书中提醒投资者注意泡沫风险 股市正处于最高点 2个月后此预言果然应验
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Builders were doing extremely well until a couple of years ago their stock was soaring--now all of a sudden they're in crisis.
直至前几年建造商们的表现一直非常优异,本来股票大涨,忽然就陷入了危机
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In a stock repurchase, if they repurchase everybody's shares-- the same proportion--it doesn't affect that ratio.
股票回购中,若他们购回所有人的股份,相同份额比,那就不会影响比例
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In terms of just general investing culture-- and we're behavioral in our attitude-- it was clearer that you bought a stock to get a dividend.
在一个投资性文化中,我们更偏向于行动派,人们为了得到分红而购买股票的意图愈加明显
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If you own stock-- we don't get them in the mail anymore because you own it through some brokerage account and you get it on a website.
如果你有股票...,我们现在不通过挂号信了,因为人们都通过经纪人账户,在网站上购买股票
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In the Basel I there were Tier I capital requirements and they defined Tier I capital as capital in a certain form -it's stockholders equity plus preferred stock.
第一次巴塞尔协议提出了一级资本要求,他们将一级资本定义为,一种特定形式的资本金,就是股东权益加上优先股
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As a result, people invest in banks -the stock of banks -because they understand that these people have a long-term relationship with business and they are immune from the adverse selection.
结果呢,人们就会投资于银行,即购买银行的股票,因为他们知道,银行家和企业界保持着长期的关系,他们可以免受逆向选择之害
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This one-day collapse in stock prices was a virtual impossibility.
股价一天之内有如此程度的暴跌,本来是根本不可能的
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In the 1920s, a lot of bogus stuff was sold -a lot of people were cheated -so after the stock market crash of 1929, it led to a movement for regulation.
在上世纪20年代,很多不合规的股票流入市场,很多人受骗,所以1929年的股市大崩盘,促使政府采取了一系列加强金融监管的行动
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We had an extraordinarily high price-to-earnings ratio representing a lot of optimism in the '20s for the stock market and then it corrected and went abruptly downward-- that was The Great Depression.
在二十年代,市盈率高得离奇,表现了当时人们对股票市场的乐观,当其得到修正并突然下跌时,大萧条便开始了
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One is that -there's a literature in finance about options and stock price performance, which goes back ten years, that shows that something is not quite right with the way companies issue options.
其中之一是,有一部关于期权与股票价格表现,的金融文献,讲述的是十年前,关于公司发行期权的,一些不太正确的做法
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According to the research of Ulrike Malmendier at Stanford, she thinks that the stock market in ancient Rome was done on the street-- on the Roman Forum--and she can tell you where.
根据斯坦福大学乌尔丽克克·马尔门迪尔的研究,她认为在古罗马,证券交易就在街边,或城市广场上促成,她能告诉你在哪
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The thing that comes to my mind is that-- I want to say before concluding this review of the last lecture-- that is that the stock market is inherently political in any country.
浮现在我脑海中的一件事是,在回顾环节结束之前,我想谈谈这个,那就是在任一国家的股票市场上,都会被固有的政治因素所影响
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In essence, this collapse in stock prices -the one-day collapse in stock prices -I think in the U.S. The price was, depending on which index you were looking at, were down 21-22% in a single day.
实际上,这次股价暴跌,股价一天内的跌幅,当然在美国国内,要看你参考的是哪种股指,但基本上一天之内暴跌21-22%
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I'm not going to put Yale's entire portfolio in Google stock, I'm not going to go back and take Yale's entire portfolio to day-trade bond futures; in part, because it would be bad for me personally.
我不会用耶鲁的全部资产买谷歌股票,我也不会,用耶鲁的全部资产买债券期货,一方面是因为,这对我个人不利
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So he sent out a fake--he bought -he shorted the company and he --the stock in the company- and he bought --he put out a fake press release saying that there was bad news for the company.
他散布假消息,他先卖空公司的股份,接着买入,然后他对外界放出假消息,说公司有重大利空
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So, ownership of stocks absolutely crushes buying bonds -almost 16,000 times your money or more than 3,000 times your money in the stock market as opposed to 72 times your money or 19 times your money in the bond market or the bill market.
股票的收益率远远超过债券,小盘股的收益差不多16000倍于本金,而大盘收益也翻了300倍以上,相比长期债券的72倍,和短期债券的19倍
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That is, share repurchase can change the units of measurement in a security and companies have to decide how leveraged the stock will be, which changes the stock price--leverage, meaning how much debt the company takes on.
即 股票的购回会改变,已发行股票的单位数量,公司需要决定,股票的杠杆效用是多少,杠杆会改变股价,杠杆指的是公司举债的多少
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We'll be talking about the Modigliani-Miller Theorem and related issues in this lecture as well as something about the behavior of the stock market and its tendency to go through dramatic movements.
我们会讲到,MM定理,和与其相关的问题,还会讲到,股市行为和,股市戏剧性的运动趋势
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