Modigliani and Miller wrote a famous article arguing that-- what I just said--I just tried to say it in very intuitive terms.
莫迪利阿尼和米勒有一篇非常著名的文章是讲...,刚提过的,我想用直观的词汇来描述
Playwrights that I really love are like, Arthur Miller and David Mamet.
我非常喜爱的剧作家,阿瑟·米勒和大卫·马麦特。
Maybe Merton Miller is right-- these things are "neutral mutations" and changes in dividend policy are meaningless.
也许莫顿·米勒是对的,这些都是"中性突变",变更股利政策是无意义的
Wentworth Miller is an actor. He graduated like 15 years ago.
演员温特沃斯·米勒也是普林斯顿的校友,他大约毕业已经有15年之久了。
Modigliani and Miller said, we don't care what you do, do whatever you want--it doesn't matter.
莫迪利阿尼和米勒说,怎么做都没关系,想借多少借多少,没有关系
The other thing that I want to say about Modigliani and Miller is about corporate debt.
我想讲的另一个问题是,莫迪利阿尼和米勒还谈到了公司债务
Well, Modigliani and Miller are leaving the room; they say it doesn't matter.
这里莫迪利阿尼和米勒没有给出解释,他们说这不重要
They call in Modigliani and Miller and ask, how much should we borrow?
他们给莫迪利阿尼和米勒打电话问,我们该借多少钱呢
What Modigliani and Miller said, if it's pure dividend policy, then it is totally irrelevant; it means nothing, so companies can do whatever they please-- I don't care.
莫迪利阿尼和米勒的观点是,如果是单纯的股利政策,则与之完全不相关,它没有意义,所以公司可以任意施为,我不在乎
It was--Modigliani and Miller said back then-- this was thirty or forty years ago-- that companies should really not pay dividends because dividends were then taxed at a higher rate than capital gains.
莫迪利阿尼和米勒说在那时候,大概30或40年前,公司不应分配股利,因为对股利征税的税率比对资本收益高
One thing that Merton Miller distilled from it was that people on boards, who decide on dividend payout, are very focused on the price of a share and they're worried about investor reaction.
但莫顿·米勒总结出一点,决定是否分红的董事们,十分关注股价,他们很担心投资者们的反应
Before I talk, I just want to say one more thing about Modigliani-Miller and dividend--irrelevance of dividends.
在讲之前,我想再说一点,关于MM模型和股利无关性
A company, according to Modigliani and Miller, has to weigh their tax considerations against their bankruptcy costs and get an optimum debt-equity ratio out of that.
根据MM理论,一家公司,必须在租税考量与破产成本之间进行权衡,然后得出最有利的负债权益比
There's another Modigliani-Miller theorem about debt, which is about debt irrelevance as well.
关于负债还有另外一个MM定律,也是讲负债不相关性的
So, that's the basic insight in Modigliani and Miller, that share repurchase and dividend are really interchangeable; it's just all a conceptual difference.
这即是莫迪利阿尼和米勒命题的内涵,股票回购和分红彼此是可替代的,只是概念上有所不同
When Modigliani and Miller wrote, there was a differential tax rate between dividends and capital gains.
莫迪利阿尼和米勒写到,如果在股利和资本收益间,有一个随其他因素变化的税率
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