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What I think the mutual fund industry has turned into, largely, is a stock picking industry, not a portfolio diversification industry.
我认为,共同基金行业在很大程度上,已经演变成选股行业,而非投资组合多样化行业
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The ideal thing would be that the mutual fund does these calculations and it puts it all together for you.
最理想的事情是,共同基金会做一些这样的计算,再为你们把这些数据综合起来。
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The mutual fund theory that we gave last time said, no the mutual fund is just supposed to be diversifying for you.
但上节课讲到的共同基金定理认为,共同基金的目的是分散投资
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The problem is even more severe when you're looking at mutual funds because there's kind of a cynical game that mutual fund management companies play.
当你去观察基金市场,会发现问题更严重,因为基金管理公司,会玩一个偷梁换柱的把戏
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A mutual fund is an investment vehicle that allows investors to hold a portfolio.
共同基金是一种投资手段,允许投资者持有一种投资组合。
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The mutual fund industry is supposedly, and according to theory, doing this for you.
共同基金产业据称，理应为人们完成如上的这些计算。
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I want to say one more thing about the diversification and the mutual fund.
我想谈谈,证券业多元化和共同基金
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In Unconventional Success, I did a study of individual behavior in their mutual fund purchases and sales around the collapse of the Internet bubble in March of 2000.
在这本书里,我对2000年3月,网络股暴跌时,共同基金购买,和销售中的个体行为做了研究
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I have one final question, just about the mutual fund industry.
我最后还有个问题，是关于共同基金产业。
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What most people are doing when they go into a mutual fund is they're trying to find smart people who will beat the market-- who will pick those stocks that will do well.
大多数人投资共同基金,实际是在寻找聪明之辈,来帮助他们获取更高收益率...,来挑选表现最为优异的股票
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Now, I haven't defined mutual fund yet.
现在我还没有给共同基金下一个定义。
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You see mutual fund advertisements everywhere.
而共同基金的广告你却随处可见
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This is true whether you look at the universe of the mutual fund managers that we might have available to us as individuals or whether it's institutional data, such as those that I just cited; that concept is survivorship bias.
的确如此,不论你在观察,可接触到的基金经理个人,还是观察一些机构数据,就像我刚引用过的那些,这个现象就是生存偏差
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But then I asked another question, do you think trying to pick mutual funds, trying to find a mutual fund that will beat the market is a smart thing to do or not a smart thing to do?
但是接着我又问了另一个问题,你们认为选择共同基金,选择一种强于市场表现的共同基金,是不是明智之举呢
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Compound that 13.4% over ten years and there's just an enormous gap between those mutual fund numbers that are in the prospectus and in the advertisement--the time-weighted returns and the dollar-weighted returns that talk about the actual experience of the investment community.
按13.4%复利算一下10年期的结果,你会发现在招股说明书和广告里给出的,用来反映投资机构实际业绩水平的,时间加权回报率,和货币加权回报率数字之间,有着巨大的差异
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It will be about the securities market line, about the beta, about the mutual fund theorem, and it will also be about institutions that we have--about investment companies and their management.
证券市场的风险线,beta系数,共同基金定律,还有当下的一些金融机构,包括投资公司,以及他们的管理
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