When you look at a random walk you have the intuitive impression that you can extrapolate it -that it doesn't look like -you can't believe it's really random, but the reason you can't is because you overweigh the probability of certain things that caught your attention.

当人们观察随机漫步序列时会有直观印象,并可以以此类推,虽然这看起来并不像...,人们不会觉得这是完全随机的,之所以如此,是因为,人们过分高估了特定事物发生的可能性,这吸引了人们的注意

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