The final sin I want to talk about is probably the most common, and it's called the Texas sharpshooter fallacy.
我想讲的最后的一个谬误,可能是最常见的,它叫做德克萨斯神枪手谬误。
Because I am very, very proud to be a Texan. As I think you'll find with most people from Texas.
因为我为自己是德克萨斯人而感到无比骄傲。我想你会发现许多德克萨斯人有同样的感受。
You know,when I was a kid growing up in Texas, one of our sayings was, "Let's make like a Baptist church and split."
当我小时候还在德州时,我们会听到一种说法,“我们像浸信会一样不和“
That's right. Louisiana Slim he's sometimes called. Yes, Sir. I sure have met Big Slim. And he used to work in the east Texas oil fields?"
对,人们有时叫他路易斯安那的细杆,是的先生我肯定,遇见过,他过去是不是经常在得克萨斯州东部的油田工作?“
So UC Berkeley, Stanford, University of Texas at Austin, Texas A&M, Harvard, Princeton, NYU, Purdue.
有加州大学伯克利分校,斯坦福,德州大学奥斯汀分校,德州农工大学,哈佛大学,普林斯顿,纽约大学,普渡大学。
I also served for the two years before that as the policy director of President Bush's presidential campain, working at the Texas.
在那之前,我做过两年的,布什总统选举的,政策主任,在德州工作。
I got interested in that particular question because one of our former PHD students who is now at Texas A&M, asked me to give a lecture on that subject in honor of some anniversary of the universities.
我对这个问题也感兴趣,因为我们学校的一名博士毕业生,现在在德克萨斯农工大学,请我就这个话题演讲,当时是大学的周年纪念日。
I mean it's--well it's not said directly but that's inferred isn't it, because all these are--they're doing all the muscle kind of things and they're eating the Texas Double Whopper.
我是指,尽管没有直接阐明却隐含其中,因为所有这些,广告里的人都吃着,德州巨无霸汉堡而且做着各种肌肉运动
So going to Texas and going to South Carolina was a good experience for me.
所以,对我而言,在德克萨斯和南卡罗来纳州的经历真的很不错。
I've been to New York, Florida, Indiana, Tennessee, Kentucky, Texas, California, Colorado...
我去过纽约、弗罗里达、印第安纳、田纳西、肯塔基、德克萨斯、加利福利亚、科罗拉多……
Now before I get into that, are any of you here from Texas?
现在我讲这个之前,我想问问你们有人是来自德克萨斯州的吗?
Now, about roughly two-thirds of those two million slaves moved from the Eastern seaboard or the Upper South to Alabama, Louisiana, Mississippi, Texas, Arkansas, et cetera.
在这两百万奴隶中,大约有三分之二的人,是从东海岸或者上南地区,被卖到亚拉巴马,路易斯安那,密西西比,德克萨斯和阿肯色等地区
Saving and Loan Associations were making bad loans, especially in Texas, but in lots of other states as well -this is when Ronald Reagan was President.
当时储蓄贷款协会出现了不良贷款,尤其在德克萨斯州,不过在其它很多州也同时出现了...,当时的总统是罗纳德·里根
His track record in Texas probably did actually look a lot like that.
他在德克萨斯州任职期间的政绩,使他看上去像个保守派
Sure. I'm from Houston, Texas.
当然可以。我来自德克萨斯州的休斯顿。
I'm originally from Texas and
我原本是从得克萨斯来的
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