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And it seems pretty obvious that at least two of the things I'm going to want are stock and market.
很明显,我至少要有的两个类是,股票和市场。
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But that no particular stock is more or less likely to outperform the market, because all the information is incorporated in the price.
但是没有那一种特殊的股票是,最有可能比市场平均表现更好的，因为所有信息都是包含在价格上的。
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Well there actually was a stock market in Russia before 1918 and in China before 1949, so what happened to investors?
实际上,俄罗斯在1918年前,中国在1949年前设有股票市场,那么投资者会得到怎样的回报呢
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one is to look at the sequence of event, look at these sequence in October 29, stock market crashed, two month later, 9% unemployment peaked at 9%.
一种是看看事件发生的时间，看看顺序,10月29号，股票市场崩溃，两个月后，失业率上升到。
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It emphasizes the long run performance of the stock market, but it's really a general treatise of financial markets.
虽然这本书着重于股票长期投资,但它其实是一本关于金融市场的综合性著作
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Just at the point of maximum opportunity people were at the point of maximum bearishness about the equity markets.
就在最好的投资机会来临的时候,人们对股票市场看空的程度,却刚好达到顶峰
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That's so basic, it must have happened a million times and that's the basic idea of the stock market.
这是很基础的概念,早已屡见不鲜,而这就是股票市场的最初思想
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After all, I'm going to try and build a simulation of the stock market, so I might as well have the notion of a market, and probably the notion of a stock.
不管怎样,我得建立一个股票市场的仿真程序，所以我最好要有股票的概念，和股市的概念。
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After that I want to talk about the stock market and I want to--there's a lot to talk about.
在后面我会讲到股票市场,我会讲到很多知识
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This is since 1802-- now how many countries do you think have uninterrupted stock market data since 1802?
西格尔使用的数据始于1802年...,你们想想现在有多少的国家,存有从1802年以来,股票市场的完整数据呢
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The stock market--I was going to talk about stock dividends, but I better talk about dividends first.
股票市场...我想讲下股票股利,但最好还是先解释下什么是股利
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We're going to talk about both the housing market and the stock market in these different books.
在这几本书里,我们都会提到房地产市场和股票市场
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This is about the stock market, but I asked a number of this I've been doing since 1996 do you agree with the following statement?
这往往是指投资股票市场,但是1996年之后,我问过一些人,你认同以下这种说法吗
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So, what it means then is that the optimal portfolio should not be the one I show there, but should be one that's very heavily into stocks.
他所想提出的观点是,最佳投资组合并不是我在这讲的那个，而是把大量资金都投资到股票市场中。
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And so there's an upward bias to the stock market, contrary to what you may have seen recently.
所以对股票市场来说是有一种上涨的倾向，这和你们最近看到的情况相反。
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I said that no stock is likely to outperform the market or underperform the market.
我对你们说没有股票,会有比市场表现的好,或者差的可能性。
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That's $1 more than it costs now in the market, so the options are worthless unless the price of the stock goes up.
这样每股就要比市场价多花费一美元,除非股票价格增长了,否则这个期权就是没有价值的
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We had a bubble in the stock market in the '90s and it collapsed after 2000 and with that it brought the economy down.
我们在九十年代股票市场中有泡沫,并且它在2000年崩塌了0,这使得经济一度低迷。
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In general, less volatile stocks have done better over time than more volatile stocks, which is somewhat inconsistent with the notion of efficient markets.
一般来说，波动小的股票在长期内比波动大的股票,表现要好，一定程度上,这和金融市场有效论的观点是相悖的。
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For example, like it has done recently if you've been following it earlier this year.
举个例子,如果你们今年关注股票市场的话,会发现今年年初的股票运动趋势非常戏剧化
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The respondents were asked to identify the organization that insures you against losing money in the stock market or as the result of investment fraud.
被调查者被问到是否知晓,在股票市场或者在投资欺诈案中,保护他们的资金不受损失的机构
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This is the stock market for the United States; it's the Standard & Poor Composite.
这是美国的股票市场,这是标准普尔综合指数
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When a stock is first listed in the market, it comes with some price.
当股票在市场中出现的时候，它就会有一个价格。
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In another year, however, the stock market lost 5% and Shiller, Inc. Lost 7%.
另一年,股票市场下跌了5%,希勒公司.下跌了7%
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The numbers that Jeremy Siegel produces seem implausibly high for the stock market.
杰里米·西格尔所提供的数据似乎表明,股票市场有难以置信的高回报率
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The stock market crash in 1929 caused tremendous chaos in the financial markets.
929年股票市场的坠落引起了金融市场,巨大的混乱。
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What is the probability that the stock market will go up this year?
今年的股票市场,会走高的概率是多少
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I only started asking this in 1996 when the stock market boom was well under way, but already 69% of my respondents, who were high-income investors, strongly agreed.
996年时我才提出这种疑问,那时股票市场一片欣欣向荣,这些受访者是高收入投资者,但69%的受访者强烈认同这点
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That 45 times out of 100 the stock market will go up and the other 55 times out of 100 it will stay the same or go down.
就是,股票市场会走高的可能性是45%,剩下的55%,市场会走平或者走低
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Probably when the overall stock market does well so does Shiller, Inc.
很有可能当股票市场的总体表现好,希勒公司.的表现也一样好
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