商业术语“黑天鹅事件”是指什么？
黑天鹅事件就指那些极小概率，但是有极大影响事件。
他主张构建这样一个社会：一旦黑天鹅事件不可避免的发生，它能限制其造成的损失。
He advocates building a society that can limit the damage of Black Swan events once they inevitably occur.
“金融市场不仅容易受到黑天鹅事件的影响，更成为了黑天鹅时间产生的温床，”古迪曼说道。
"Financial markets are not only vulnerable to black swans but have become the perfect breeding ground for them, " says Mr Guldimann.
前不久的一个晚上，就在美国投资者还在熟睡的时候，最近一桩“黑天鹅事件”可能又降临到了他们的生活中。
As American investors slept last night, the latest 'Black Swan' event may have fluttered into their lives.
我所谓的黑天鹅是有着以下三个特点的事件。
市场有可能被作家塔雷伯所描述的“黑天鹅”（发生几率很小，但可造成重大影响的事件）所击垮。
Markets might be undermined by what Nassim Taleb, an author, has described as a “black swan”—an event with a small probability of happening, but a big impact if it does.
在出现不可预测的“黑天鹅”事件时，过分依赖预测的系统(如这次金融危机前的银行系统，通过使用杠杆)显得非常脆弱，最终将彻底粉碎。
A system that is over-reliant on prediction (through leverage, like the banking system before the recent crisis), hence fragile to unforeseen "black swan" events, will eventually break into pieces.
过去几周发生了太多灾难性事件，以至于人们创造出了一个新词——“黑天鹅疲劳”(black swan fatigue)——来描绘市场的反应。
So many catastrophic events have struck the world in the past few weeks that a new phrase - "black swan fatigue" - has been coined to characterise the market reaction.
在2007年，他出版了《黑天鹅：高度意外性事件的影响》，主张人们不应该忽略罕见和不可预测事件的可能性和重要性。
In 2007, he published the Black Swan: the Impact of the Highly Improbable, which argues that we should never ignore the possibility or importance of rare, unpredictable events.
目前看来，金融市场的“黑天鹅”或者说一些极端事件所发生的频率，比通常的概率模型所预测的要大得多。
It turns out that in financial markets "black swans", or extreme events, occur much more often than the usual probability models suggest.
并且，企业“预案制定者”在考虑“黑天鹅”型事件时也比之前要好很多。
And corporate "scenario planners" are better than they used to be at thinking about Black Swan-type events.
以稀有而意料之外事件命名的黑天鹅基金提供一种在经济灾难时的盈利方式。
So-called black swan funds - named for rare and unexpected events - offer a way to profit in the event of a market collapse.
从黑天鹅的突然事件，他认为未来数月大的金融机构不可能崩溃。
From the sudden black swan event, he thinks the next few months the big financial institutions are unlikely to collapse.
许多人认为脱欧是一个“黑天鹅”事件，完全出乎意料也无法想象。
Many consider Brexit as a 'Black Swan' event, previously unexpected and unthinkable.
“黑天鹅”也可以是负面的事件，像现在的银行危机。
Now, a black swan can be a negative event like a banking crisis.
巴菲特为他认为发生概率不大的事件提供保险，这种做法正是《黑天鹅》一书作者纳西姆·尼古拉斯·塔勒布(Nassim Nicholas Taleb)所批评的交易策略。
Mr Buffett's approach of insuring events he thinks are unlikely to occur is the kind of trading strategy criticised by Nassim Nicholas Taleb, who wrote the Black Swan.
塔布勒将“黑天鹅”定义为影响巨大的意外事件，却在事后制定解释时被认为是可预测的，比如911事件和互联网的兴起。
Mr Taleb defines a Black Swan as an event that is unexpected, has an extreme impact and is made to seem predictable by explanations concocted afterwards. It can be both positive and negative.
塔布勒将“黑天鹅”定义为影响巨大的意外事件，却在事后制定解释时被认为是可预测的，比如911事件和互联网的兴起。
Mr Taleb defines a Black Swan as an event that is unexpected, has an extreme impact and is made to seem predictable by explanations concocted afterwards. It can be both positive and negative.
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