The present article aims to introduce the authors research on the method of flood control forecast operation a reservoir can actualize in a flood season.

水库实施的防洪预报调度方式是解决我国防洪和兴利之间矛盾的一条有效途径，其对水库上下游的防洪风险率的大小是决定其能否实施的关键。

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Reservoir flood control operation mode without forecast information always delays the opportunity to release or impound, increases flood risk and wastes flood resources.

不考虑预报设计的调度方式往往贻误泄流或蓄水时机，增加防洪风险或造成洪水资源的浪费。

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