The traditional foreign debt risk index system is not scientific and comprehensive.

传统的外债风险指标体系不够科学、全面。

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This paper develops and tests a new Multivariate Cumulative Sum (MCS) model for assessing a countrys foreign debt risk.

本文提出了一个用于预警一国外债风险的动态模型，即多元累计和模型。

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Borrowing in foreign currencies (as Brazil and other Latin American countries had done before the 1980s debt crisis) leaves original sinners at risk of default if their currency loses value.

如果本国货币贬值，那么像巴西和其他拉丁美洲国家上世纪80年代债务危机以前那样借入外汇就会存在债务违约风险。

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The country is considered to be at risk of defaulting on its foreign debt.

ECONOMIST: Zimbabwe

They will also have to provide more capital against such assets as government debt, hitherto regarded as risk-free, and increase the amount set aside for foreign-exchange dealings.

ECONOMIST: Indian banks

And the European experience has already taught investors what even a small dose of sovereign risk can do to credit and equity markets especially to counties with heavy foreign debt.

FORBES: Why Investors shouldn't ignore Credit Agency Warnings