At the same time, this paper utilizes the improved model based on exponential regressive curve and ARMA model to carry on the medium and long-term electric power demand forecasting in Hunan province.
同时本文利用指数曲线与ARMA的叠加预测模型对湖南省中长期电力需求进行了具体的实证研究。
Because the medium and long term load forecasting in distribution network is affected by many uncertain factors, up to now, no methods can obtain the satisfying forecasting results at all instances.
由于配电网中长期负荷预测，会受到很多不确定因素的影响。因此，到目前为止，还没有哪一种方法能保证在任何情况下都能获得满意的预测结果。
Aiming at the features of medium and long-term load forecasting, a comprehensive model for medium and long-term load forecasting based on Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) was put forward.
针对中长期电力负荷预测特点，提出了一种基于AHP(层次分析法)的中长期电力负荷预测综合模型。
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