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overconfidence effect

过度自信效应

心理学中有个现象称为「过度自信效应（Overconfidence effect），是由学者 Howard Raiffa 与 Marc Alpert 最早提出。

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度自信效应

5) 定锚偏见/ 基准点的偏差(Anchoring Bias) 6) 过度自信效应 ( Overconfidence Effect ) 7) 基本归因误差(Fundamental Attribution Error) ..

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abstract: The overconfidence effect is a well-established bias in which someone's subjective confidence in their judgments is reliably greater than their objective accuracy, especially when confidence is relatively high.Pallier, Gerry, et al.

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Another well known cognitive fallacy is the overconfidence effect, which is the tendency for our subjective confidence to be larger than our objective accuracy.

另一众所周知的认知障碍是过度自信(overconfidence effect)，即我们的主观信心倾向大于我们的客观准确性。

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In this paper, we extend the previous research field, and examine the effect of overconfidence of investment fund manager on the returns and risk of investment fund.

本文扩展了以前的研究范围，考察了基金经理过度自信对基金收益与风险的影响。

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