The sentimental favorite is probably Robert De Niro, who's made more heartfelt guest appearances on behalf of "Silver Linings Playbook" than he has for any number of his other recent films.

CNN: Unpredictable Oscar race holds promise for exciting night

And Jennifer Lawrence of Silver Linings Playbook chose a Dior Couture strapless navy gown for her walk on the red carpet despite having a case of pneumonia.

FORBES: The Red Carpet At The Screen Actors Guild Awards

And if Lincoln is destined to fall, it seems more likely that an upset would come at the hands of either Silver Linings Playbook (which I previously explained might be positioned for a surprise win) or Life of Pi, the only two films that have enough nominations in traditionally predictive categories to win Best Picture.

FORBES: Ben Affleck's 'Argo' Proves Golden At The Globes