His Social Democrats and their most likely partners, the Greens, would have to win a Bundestag majority against the three parties of Helmut Kohl's present centre-right coalition plus the Party of Democratic Socialism.
Political analyst Maria Teresa Zegada told El Pais newspaper that "it is clear that the will of the MAS (Movement Towards Socialism, Bolivia's governing party) is to remain in power and opt for the re-election of Evo Morales".