The features of typhoon storm surge along different paths are analyzed. Furthermore, the regression method based on PRESS standard is used for surge forecasting.
将台风按路径分型,分析了不同路径台风风暴潮的特点,并用基于PRESS准则的逐步回归方法,建立了不同路径风暴潮的预报模型。
Forecasting accuracy of storm surge caused by typhoon depends on forecasting accuracy of typhoon track.
风暴潮预报准确率首先决定于台风路径预报的准确率。
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