In the run-up to the 1937 dip, many people thought inflation was imminent due to the jump in excess bank reserves.
Americans during the Great Depression voiced the same concerns about excess bank reserves, budget deficits, competitive devaluations and commodities speculation as they do today.
In 2009, excess bank reserves grew through banks' preference for liquid assets, and the certain (though low) interest earned by deposits at the Federal Reserve.
Treasury purchases get sterilized into excess bank reserves without a significant expansion of U.S. money, but some reserves seep out and cause an expansion in foreign money, which is only spent on food.
First, neither excess reserves nor the monetary base (currency plus bank reserves) are money.
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Raising the rate of interest paid on excess reserves can make new bank loans less attractive, thus tempering overall credit creation.
For example, the European Central Bank allows banks to place excess reserves in an interest-paying deposit facility.
First, the Federal Reserve could drain bank reserves and reduce the excess liquidity at other institutions by arranging large-scale reverse repurchase agreements with financial market participants, including banks, government-sponsored enterprises and other institutions.
Bank loans and investments trending up, excess reserves trending down.
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Clearly, bankers reeling from the shocks of the Depression, including many bank failures, did not regard those reserves as excess.
The proposed operation would also eliminate bank account balances at least equal in amount to the excess reserves that were extinguished.
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The Fed s likely ease will involve zero interest on excess reserves: Since October 2008 the Fed has been paying interest on commercial bank deposits held at the central bank.
Paying interest on excess reserves will initially sterilize the new high-powered money, without much impact on bank lending and nominal incomes, let alone real GDP growth.
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