We think the U.S. and ultimately Europe will be headed in the same direction interms of sustainably low real rates, at first through low nominal rates and later through inflation.
Since 2005, when China started de-pegging gradually from the dollar, the yuan has appreciated around 25% innominaltermsand about 50% inrealterms relative to the dollar, according to a report by The Economist.
It would oblige Argentina to continue trying to adjust its real exchange rate by deflation (cutting nominal wages and prices innominalterms), a process which has already forced the collapse of many businesses.
During this dreary ten year stretch stocks have essentially gone nowhere innominaltermsand, adjusting for inflation, are actually down big inreal dollar terms.