Morris Goldstein of the Institute for International Economics in Washington puts the risk of default before the end of 2003 as high as 70%.
Indeed, as APEC falters, Dr Mahathir's original vision seems to be resurfacing after all, according to Fred Bergsten of the Institute for International Economics.
Fred Bergsten, director of the Institute for International Economics, and other Washington cognoscenti want this U.S. intervention so our goods will be more affordable abroad.
That argument has been made forcefully, most recently by Michael Mussa, formerly the IMF's chief economist and now at the Institute for International Economics in Washington.
Ted Truman, a long-time Fed staffer now at the Institute for International Economics, remembers staff, governors and regional presidents going to dinners at the house of Mr Greenspan's then girlfriend (now wife).
"What it does immediately is unblock a whole series of trade negotiations and restores US negotiators to the forefront of talks, " said Jeffrey Schott, a senior fellow with the Institute for International Economics.
Instead of focusing on jobs lost to the globalisation of information technology, Catherine Mann of the Institute for International Economics in Washington looks at globalisation's power to reduce prices and so help spread new technology, new practices and job-creating investment through the economy.
Nonetheless, don't expect Bush to try to discourage it, says Edwin Truman, a senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics and a former assistant secretary for international affairs in the Treasury Department.
According to Martin Neil Baily, a senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics in Washington, the "striking thing" about last year's report was that it painted a rosy view of the trade imbalance by focusing on the capital account surplus, rather than its inverse, the current account deficit.
As Marcus Noland of the Peterson Institute for International Economics puts it, after the regime disrupted both the demand and the supply sides, it took the canary out of the mineshaft.
Carmen Reinhart of the Peterson Institute for International Economics and Belen Sbrancia of the University of Maryland calculate that average real rates on deposits and Treasury bills were negative throughout the 1945-80 period in advanced economies.
ECONOMIST: The bond market: To strive, to seek, to find, and not to yield | The
Yet as Marcus Noland, a scholar of North Korea at the Peterson Institute for International Economics, argues, Mrs Clinton is constrained by the need for Chinese support on many issues.
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Russian Finance Minister Alexei Kudrin told a gathering of political appointees and economists at the Peterson Institute for International Economics last week that Russia was not complacent in the Putin years.
According to William Cline of the Peterson Institute for International Economics in Washington, DC, at least 4% of the world's grain is used to make ethanol for fuel.
Arvind Subramanian, an economist at the Peterson Institute for International Economics, a think-tank in Washington, DC, argues that the recession in eastern Europe sounds the death knell for one of the two main growth strategies of the past 20 years capital-account liberalisation (growth through exports is the other).
According to a 36-page academic research report by the Peterson Institute for International Economics, China has moved closer to its long-term goal for its currency, the renminbi (RMB), to become a global reserve currency.
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Marcus Noland, director of studies at the Peterson Institute for International Economics in Washington, D.
He is now a fellow at the Belfer Center at Harvard and the Peterson Institute for International Economics.
WSJ: Robert B. Zoellick: Obama's Historic Budget Opportunity
Mr. Rosen is China practice leader at Rhodium Group and visiting fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics.
But there is a silver lining, says Mussa, now a senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics in Washington, D.
Simon Johnson is a professor at MIT Sloan School of Management and a senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics.
"I think they need to put up a common front, " says Arvind Subramanian, a senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics in Washington, D.
Fred Bergsten, director of the Peterson Institute for International Economics.
"One year doesn't make a big difference, " says Edwin Truman, a senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics and a former assistant Treasury secretary for international affairs.
"Every sector had rising unemployment, every demographic, every state, with a few exceptions, " said Joseph Gagnon, a former Federal Reserve economist now at the Peterson Institute for International Economics in Washington.
Cyprus could have only gone after non-EU depositors, but it may have been hard to distinguish between Cypriot and Russian savers, said Jacob Kirkegaard, senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics in Washington.
The US will not meet the budget goals it set out to reach by 2014, said Russian Finance Minister Alexei Kudrin during a gathering at the Peterson Institute for International Economics in Washington DC this past weekend.
FORBES: Russian Finance Minister Kudrin Says US Won't Meet Budget Goals
"A halt in Chinese appreciation would play very badly politically in the United States, especially entering the election year with very slow growth and high unemployment, " said Fred Bergsten, director of the Peterson Institute for International Economics, a Washington D.
Jacob Funk Kirkegaard, of the US-based Peterson Institute for International Economics, said that was a potential problem for any bailout negotiations.
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