They assume that the recent recession and aftermath are like all past recessions since WWII.
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First, they assume that all 20 countries are hit by common but unobservable shocks.
They assume that Apple is, in fact, building a device that users will wrap around their wrists.
They assume that electric cars have no carbon emissions, although the electricity they use probably came from coal.
Thus, analysts and investors are wrong when they assume that everything Apple produces can and will be copied successfully.
They assume that they can win new business quickly, but that rarely happens.
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Or they assume that it will require a steady, constant effort over years.
Often, they assume that someone culturally similar to themselves will be more likely to look out for their interests.
Businesses are investing in alternatives to fossil fuels because they assume that carbon emissions will be constrained in the future.
Why do they assume that the level of spending over the past four decades is also correct for the next four?
They assume that because Taleb writes about unseen and improperly calculated risks, his objective must be to reduce or eliminate risk.
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They assume that since Congress has decided to take away five-year averaging, it must have been a good deal for all taxpayers.
Often they assume that finding one's passion is a matter of luck.
But would they assume that of Sarah Palin the Presidential Candidate?
They assume that because so many are lining up the hot dogs must be amazing, and so they decide that they too must visit this place.
Often they assume that they are all stolen, but it is worth remembering that the art market, black or otherwise, has existed for a long time.
Both analyses are misleading because they assume that most people are more interested in their own financial well-being than they are in their values and their identity.
But they assume that replacement teachers can be hired without limit, with no increase in compensation, from the same quality distribution from which current teachers are drawn.
They assume that if you insure the uninsured or give people more generous coverage that they will all get more health care without ever asking: who is going to provide that extra care?
If there was a recession in 1854 or 1960, for whatever reason, they assume that the recession could have been completely avoided if they had been allowed to apply their fiat money magic.
In addition, people often overconsume no-sugar products because they assume that they must be healthier, and they end up taking in more calories than they need which leads to weight gain or prevents weight loss.
These forecasts may be optimistic, because they assume that Americans can continue to claw their way up the value chain in the global economy, and not get stuck along the way, as the Japanese did in the nineties.
While patients cannot always tell if the doctor has done the right thing, they assume that the care they receive is safe and effective and based on evidence and that their providers are fully licensed and following standard procedures.
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One of the big observations that people made when they began to look closely at homelessness was that they used to assume that there was this big broad middle of tons and tons of homeless people who had similar kinds of problems.
Some workers could be automatically enrolled into mutual funds that are too conservative or too risky for their liking, or they could assume that their 401(ks) are another form of Social Security that will be guaranteed no matter what the return of the stock market.
If you ask for clarification, they will assume that you could not comprehend and therefore must be intoxicated.
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They implicitly assume that changes in the taxable income of rich and poor are influenced only by tax-rate changes.
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So children aren't just biased against other racial groups: They also assume that everybody else will be biased against other groups.
They also assume that the AMT is adjusted for inflation, so the chart shows that we can balance the budget without any increase in the tax burden.
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Will they still assume that fiscal policy will be appropriate?
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