“demographic dividend”
人口红利(“demographic dividend”)
demographic dividend
人口红利(demographic dividend)
population dividend
The mainly concern of this study is to explore labor factor of“population dividend”effects in economic angle. Through regression,we learn that the distribution of labor factor to economic growth is 70%. From perspectives of human capital,efficiency of labor allocation and rate of labor attendance,the article expounds the important function of labor factor in exerting“population dividend”effects,which is based on macro data, by logarithm-difference model.
所谓"人口红利",是指一个国家的劳动年龄人口占总人口比重较大,抚养率比较低,为经济发展创造了有利的人口条件,整个国家的经济呈高储蓄、高投资和高增长的局面。“红利”在很多情况下和“债务”是相对应的。2013年1月,国家统计局公布的数据显示,2012年我国15—59岁劳动年龄人口在相当长时期里第一次出现了绝对下降,比上年减少345万人,这意味着人口红利趋于消失,导致未来中国经济要过一个“减速关”。